Importance of Investing in Preparedness and Prevention to Address Outbreaks and Pandemics
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Andrew Kitua
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Because these are monsters that can:
Kill large numbers of people in a very short period
Breakdown our health systems
Disrupt productive social and economic life
DEVASTATE NATIONAL, REGIONAL AND GLOBAL ECONOMY (overwhelm
and destroy)
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Know our strengths and gaps in our systems
Know what is happening around us
Know our risk levels
And hence build and maintain our vigilance and readiness
to address outbreaks
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capacities to detect and address outbreaks at source
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Plan and implement interventions that :
Minimize or eliminate the risk of occurrence of outbreaks, epidemics and pandemics
Minimize the impact of potential outbreaks, epidemics, and pandemics
Save money that would be spent to address frequent outbreaks, epidemics and
pandemics (KEY TO POVERTY ALLEVIATION)
PREVENTION IS NECESSARY INSURANCE FOR HEALTHIER AND
PRODUCTIVE LIVING
Public health events of initially
unknown etiology: A framework
for preparedness and response in
the African Region
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Source: Dennis Carroll
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Animal
exposure
Animal
clinical signs
Human
exposure
Human
clinical signs
Human disease & medical care
Cost of outbreak control
Adapted from IOM (2009)
Source: People, Pathogens and Our Planet. The Economic of One Health. Page 27, Volume 2, June 2012, World Bank.
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One Health
Preparedness
activities
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Adapted from Dennis Carroll
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One Health
Response activities
Public Health, socio-
economic impacts
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Ebola outbreak in West Africa
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World Bank (2014) estimates $32.6 Billions by end 2015.
Actual marshalled by 1 December 2015, $1.62 billion
Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone incurred $2.2 billion loss in GDP in 2015
Source
: The United Nations Development Group 2015:
www.undp.org/africa
The loss of annual national GDP average ranges were:
Guinea
4.9 - 9.6 percent
Liberia
13.7
- 18.7 percent
Sierra Leone 6.0 - 8.0 percent
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Direct costs:
Nigeria lost 890,000 birds through deaths and stamping equivalent to $ 4.8 millions in
June 2006.
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UNDP estimated 80% loss of jobs in affected farms and 45% in non affected farms
Indonesia 2006 (15/30m provinces) lost 17 million birds through death or stamping.
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Value of birds lost was between $16.2 and 32.4 millions.
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Broiler and layer breeders loss of production was estimated at $ 170 millions.
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INVESTING IN PREPAREDNESS AND PREVENTION IS NOT AN OPTION BUT A
NECESSITY BECAUSE;
WE CANNOT AFFORD THE COST OF OUTBREAKS, EPIDEMICS AND PANDEMICS
AND
INVESTING IN PREPAREDNESS AND PREVENTION MUST BE OF HIGHEST
PRIORITY IN COUNTRIES WITH LIMITED RESOURCES
Investing in preparedness and prevention is crucial to mitigate the devastating impacts of outbreaks, epidemics, and pandemics. Preparedness helps identify gaps in systems and enhance vigilance, while prevention allows for effective interventions to minimize risks and save resources, ultimately promoting healthier and productive living. Delays in response can escalate costs and impacts, highlighting the necessity of proactive measures.
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Presentation Transcript
Why we need to invest in preparedness Why we need to invest in preparedness and prevention and prevention Andrew Kitua
Why invest in preparedness and prevention of Why invest in preparedness and prevention of outbreaks, epidemics and pandemics? outbreaks, epidemics and pandemics? Because these are monsters that can: Kill large numbers of people in a very short period Breakdown our health systems Disrupt productive social and economic life DEVASTATE NATIONAL, REGIONAL AND GLOBAL ECONOMY (overwhelm and destroy)
Preparedness allows us to Preparedness allows us to Know our strengths and gaps in our systems Know what is happening around us Know our risk levels And hence build and maintain our vigilance and readiness to address outbreaks o capacities to detect and address outbreaks at source
Prevention allows us to Prevention allows us to Plan and implement interventions that : Minimize or eliminate the risk of occurrence of outbreaks, epidemics and pandemics Minimize the impact of potential outbreaks, epidemics, and pandemics Save money that would be spent to address frequent outbreaks, epidemics and pandemics (KEY TO POVERTY ALLEVIATION) PREVENTION IS NECESSARY INSURANCE FOR HEALTHIER AND PRODUCTIVE LIVING
FACTS FACTS Public health events of initially Wildlife unknown etiology: A framework Animal Amplification Domestic Animal for preparedness and response in Human the African Region C A S E S TIME Source: Dennis Carroll
FACTS: Delays in response increase impact and costs FACTS: Delays in response increase impact and costs Cost of outbreak control Human exposure Human clinical signs Animal clinical signs Human disease & medical care Animal exposure Adapted from IOM (2009) Source: People, Pathogens and Our Planet. The Economic of One Health. Page 27, Volume 2, June 2012, World Bank.
OH Platform Before, During and After an. OH Platform Before, During and After an . BEFORE AFTER DURING
OH Preparedness &Response activity fund OH Preparedness &Response activity fund Wildlife ACTIVITY Domestic Animal Human One Health Preparedness activities One Health Response activities C A S E S Max FUND Min Public Health, socio- economic impacts TIME TIME Adapted from Dennis Carroll
Economic lessons from previous outbreaks, Economic lessons from previous outbreaks, epidemics and pandemics epidemics and pandemics Ebola outbreak in West Africa : World Bank (2014) estimates $32.6 Billions by end 2015. Actual marshalled by 1 December 2015, $1.62 billion Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone incurred $2.2 billion loss in GDP in 2015 Source: The United Nations Development Group 2015: www.undp.org/africa The loss of annual national GDP average ranges were: Guinea 4.9 - 9.6 percent Liberia 13.7 - 18.7 percent Sierra Leone 6.0 - 8.0 percent
Economic impact of HPAI H5N1 in Economic impact of HPAI H5N1 in selected countries selected countries Direct costs: Nigeria lost 890,000 birds through deaths and stamping equivalent to $ 4.8 millions in June 2006. oUNDP estimated 80% loss of jobs in affected farms and 45% in non affected farms Indonesia 2006 (15/30m provinces) lost 17 million birds through death or stamping. oValue of birds lost was between $16.2 and 32.4 millions. oBroiler and layer breeders loss of production was estimated at $ 170 millions.
TAKE HOME MESSAGE TAKE HOME MESSAGE INVESTING IN PREPAREDNESS AND PREVENTION IS NOT AN OPTION BUT A NECESSITY BECAUSE; WE CANNOT AFFORD THE COST OF OUTBREAKS, EPIDEMICS AND PANDEMICS AND INVESTING IN PREPAREDNESS AND PREVENTION MUST BE OF HIGHEST PRIORITY IN COUNTRIES WITH LIMITED RESOURCES
