Global Economic Trends and Forecasts

Significant economic indicators such as GDP growth rates, inflation levels, interest rate projections, and political risks are analyzed in this report. Key points include global growth patterns, challenges in inflation normalization, and the impact of geopolitical uncertainties. Specific focus is given to the economic situation in Sweden and the cautious approach of the Riksbanken.

• Global economy
• GDP growth
• Inflation
• Interest rates
• Sweden

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1. Annika Winsth April 2017

2. Tillvxt i stora delar av vrlden BNP, % V rlden USA Euroomr det Kina 2014 3,5 2,4 1,2 7,3 2015 3,3 2,6 1,9 6,9 2016P 2017P 2018P 3,1 1,6 1,7 6,7 3,5 2,2 1,7 6,5 3,7 2,3 1,6 6,3 2

3. Lg inflation p mnga hll 3

4. Kina och rvarupriser r centrala frklaringar 4

5. Mttliga rntehjningar Prognos Fed ECB (deposit) EUR/USD 170404 1,00 -0,40 1,07 3M 1,00 -0,40 1,05 31dec17 30jun18 1,75 -0,40 1,125 31dec18 1,50 -0,40 1,10 2,25 -0,40 1,15 5

6. Party med risk fr baksmlla 6

7. Svensk ekonomi ngar p BNP, % Sverige* 2014 2,7 2015 3,8 2016 3,0 2017P 2018P 3,0 2,3 *Kalenderkorrigerad 7

8. Rekordhgt sparande 8

9. Sysselsttningen fr utrikes fdda mste ka 9

10. Hga bristtal i nringslivet 10

11. Avtalen stts inte p fri marknad 11

12. Trersavtalen en mardrm fr Riksbanken 12

13. S nra men nd s lngt ifrn Sverige Repor nta EUR/SEK USD/SEK 170404 -0,50 9,56 8,97 3M 31dec17 -0,50 30jun18 -0,50 9,00 8,00 31dec18 -0,25 -0,50 9,40 8,95 9,20 8,36 8,80 7,65 13

14. Sammanfattning Tillv xt i stora delar av v rlden Normalisering av inflationen Politiska risker och orosh rdar V xtv rk i Sverige Inflation under m let Riksbanken avvaktar l nge 14

15. Tack! Annika Winsth annika.winsth@nordea.com Nordea Markets is the name of the Markets departments of Nordea Bank AB (publ) and the bank s respective branches in Denmark, Finland and Norway. The information provided herein is intended for background information only and for the sole use of the intended recipient. The views and other information provided herein are the current views of Nordea Markets as of the date of this document and are subject to change without notice. This document is not investment research. This notice is not an exhaustive description of the described product or the risks related to it, and it should not be relied on as such, nor is it a substitute for the judgment of the recipient. The information provided herein is not intended to constitute and does not constitute investment advice nor is the information intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The information contained herein has no regard to the specific investment objectives, the financial situation or particular needs of any particular recipient. Relevant and specific professional advice should always be obtained before making any investment or credit decision. It is important to note that past performance is not indicative of future results. Nordea Markets is not and does not purport to be an adviser as to legal, taxation, ac-counting or regulatory matters in any jurisdiction. This document may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose with-out the prior written consent from Nordea Markets.