Experimental Lightning Flash Prediction and Verification Study

This presentation contains real-time lightning flash prediction data based on various initial conditions and model observations. It showcases forecasts for lightning activity on specific dates, including accumulated total lightning flash counts and lightning threat assessments. The study also includes observations from lightning networks and reports on severe weather events involving thunderstorms, gusty winds, and lightning occurrences in different regions.

• Lightning Prediction
• Weather Forecasting
• Lightning Activity
• Severe Storms
• Meteorology

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1. Disclaimer The material contained in this PPT is a raw model output and research product. This is meant for scientific use only.

2. EXPERIMENTAL LIGHTNING FLASH PREDICTION-VERIFICATION Real-time forecast based on INITIAL CONDITION (IC): (a) 21022019 0000 UTC (GFS T1534) (b) 05042019 0000 UTC (GFS T1534) (c) 06042019 1200 UTC (GFS T1534) (d) 07042019 1200 UTC (GFS T1534) WRF (With DLP-scheme)- 3 km resolution Prepared by: K Gayatri Vani, Greeshma M. Mohan, Anupam Hazra, Chandrima Mallick, Samir Pokhrel, H. S. Chaudhari and Team for Lightning/TS forecast, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Ministry of Earth Sciences, India.

3. 24 h Accumulated Total Lightning flash counts (Forecast for 21 Feb 2019) Model Observation

4. 24 h Accumulated Lightning Threat (Forecast for 21 Feb 2019) Model Observation

5. 24 h Accumulated Total Lightning flash counts (Forecast for 06 April 2019) Observation Model

7. Forecast for: 06 April 2019 Observation (Lightning network) Screen shot) IMD report: Kolkata and experiencing severe thunderstorm, gusty wind and lightning since around 6PM. Thunderstorm and lightning happening coastal Odisha and also many places of gangetic planes. 13 Z 12 Z 14 Z also over

8. Forecast for: 07 April 2019

9. Forecast for: 08 April 2019

10. Thanks