Evaluation of Flow Criteria Development for Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta Tributaries

 
 
Comments on Proposed Methods to Develop Flow Criteria for
Priority Tributaries to the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta
 
Prepared for SWRCB
March 19, 2014
 
Valerie Kincaid
Doug Demko
 
San Joaquin Tributaries Authority
 
 
SWRCB Flow Criteria Development Goals
 
Scientifically defensible
Watershed scale
Cost-effective
Timely
 
 
The Cost of Salmon Recovery
 
“It is estimated that the cost for implementing recovery
actions will range from 
$1.04 to 1.26 billion
 over the next
5 years, and over 
$10 billion
 over the next 50 years."
 
National Marine Fisheries Service. 2009
 
Salmon
 
Hydropower
 
$255 mil to 2 Billion
 
$34 Billion
 
CDFG 2009, Southwick Assoc. 2009, Cooley et al. 2008, 2010 U.S. Energy Information Administration
The Value of Fish, Hydropower, and Water in California
 
 
 
“ELOHA framework rests on the premise that although
every river is unique, many exhibit 
similar ecological
responses to flow alteration
.  ELOHA assumes that 
this
relationship holds for all rivers of that type
.”
 
         
Nature Conservancy 2012
 
 
 
Key Component of ELOHA – Watershed Scale
 
Is ELOHA Scalable to Multiple Watersheds?
 
Tributaries with dams 
could not be compared 
due to
different hydrologic regime
 
Approach may 
not
 be applicable to all tributaries in the
watershed even without dams
 
Flow – ecology relationships variable and many times
weak
 
(Davies et al. 2013; Arthington et al. 2012; McManamay et al. 2013)
 
General Concerns with “Scientifically Defensible”
 
 
 
Justification for revising the thorough, collaborative, and more
common IFIM method questionable
Is IFIM Broke? 38 FERC studies on 23 CV tributaries
 
Application of new ELOHA/hybrid method in West Coast
regulated streams seems questionable
 
New, hybrid methodology contradictory to “scientifically
defensible”?
 
More detailed plan needed for evaluation
 
Step 1: Identify Public Trust and Existing Beneficial Uses
 
Identify Public Trust Uses
 
Recreation
Fish Species
Navigation
Terrestrial Species
Commerce
Scenic views
 
 
Identify Existing Beneficial Uses
 
Irrigation
Domestic Use
Industrial Use
Hydropower generation
Existing fish and wildlife flows
 
Re-allocation of water to protect the public trust is a process that
requires the collection of significant information to weigh and
balance existing and proposed uses
 
Step 2: Identify Fish Species that Require Protection
 
Steelhead
Fall-Run Chinook Salmon
Spring-Run Chinook Salmon
Winter-Run Chinook Salmon
Sturgeon
Delta Smelt
Longfin Smelt
 
 
 
Step 3: Identify Method of Protection
 
Habitat Loss
Temperature
Predation
Climate Change
Sediment
Toxics
 
 
 
 
Ocean Conditions
Ocean Harvest
Hatchery Practices
Channel Modification
Migration Barriers
Entrainment
Flow
 
 
 
 
Flow is a Small Component
Development of
Development of
Public Trust Flows
Public Trust Flows
Existing Beneficial Uses
Existing Beneficial Uses
Public Trust Uses
Public Trust Uses
Irrigation
Irrigation
Industrial
Industrial
Use
Use
Fish
Fish
Refuge/Flo
Refuge/Flo
w
w
Hydropowe
Hydropowe
r
r
Domestic
Domestic
Use
Use
Recreation
Recreation
Scenic
Scenic
Views
Views
Fish Species
Fish Species
Commerce
Commerce
Navigation
Navigation
Terrestrial
Terrestrial
Species
Species
Sturgeon
Sturgeon
Delta Smelt
Delta Smelt
Longfin
Longfin
Smelt
Smelt
Climate
Climate
Change
Change
Sediment
Sediment
Temperature
Temperature
Toxics
Toxics
Steelhead
Steelhead
Spring-run
Spring-run
Chinook
Chinook
Winter-run
Winter-run
Chinook
Chinook
Fall-run
Fall-run
Chinook
Chinook
Predation
Predation
Habitat Loss
Habitat Loss
Ocean
Ocean
Conditions
Conditions
Flow
Flow
Channel
Channel
Modification
Modification
Hatchery
Hatchery
Practices
Practices
Harvest
Harvest
Migration
Migration
Barriers
Barriers
Entrainment
Entrainment
 
Existing Challenges/Suggested Solutions
 
 
Existing Challenges
 
1.
Current process focuses on a small piece of the puzzle
2.
Flow is a difficult tool because of the indirect connection to survival
and the process of re-allocation
3.
Overwhelming amount of information
 
 
Suggested Solutions
 
1.
 
Develop a plan from top down, not bottom up
2
(a).
 
Choose tools that re more directly related to fish survival
 
(predation or ocean harvest
2
(b).
 
 
Choose tools more streamlined then re-allocation of existing
 
water rights (predation and habitat projects)
3. 
 
Develop checklists with stakeholders and focus on 
 
public 
 
trust
 
uses that need protection
 
 
 
Comments on Proposed Methods to Develop Flow Criteria for
Priority Tributaries to the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta
 
Prepared for SWRCB
March 19, 2014
 
Valerie Kincaid
Doug Demko
 
San Joaquin Tributaries Authority
 
 
Flow is a Small Component
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Analysis of proposed methods for developing flow criteria for priority tributaries to the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta, including SWRCB's goals, the cost of salmon recovery, and the value of fish, hydropower, and water in California. Discussion on the ELOHA framework, scalability to multiple watersheds, and concerns about scientifically defensible justifications. Recommendations for a more detailed evaluation plan.

  • Tributaries
  • Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta
  • SWRCB
  • Salmon Recovery
  • ELOHA Framework

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  1. Comments on Proposed Methods to Develop Flow Criteria for Priority Tributaries to the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta Prepared for SWRCB March 19, 2014 Valerie Kincaid Doug Demko San Joaquin Tributaries Authority

  2. SWRCB Flow Criteria Development Goals Scientifically defensible Watershed scale Cost-effective Timely

  3. The Cost of Salmon Recovery It is estimated that the cost for implementing recovery actions will range from $1.04 to 1.26 billion over the next 5 years, and over $10 billion over the next 50 years." National Marine Fisheries Service. 2009

  4. The Value of Fish, Hydropower, and Water in California Salmon $255 mil to 2 Billion Hydropower $34 Billion Urban $8 Billion Water Agriculture $35 Billion CDFG 2009, Southwick Assoc. 2009, Cooley et al. 2008, 2010 U.S. Energy Information Administration

  5. Key Component of ELOHA Watershed Scale ELOHA framework rests on the premise that although every river is unique, many exhibit similar ecological responses to flow alteration. ELOHA assumes that this relationship holds for all rivers of that type. Nature Conservancy 2012

  6. Is ELOHA Scalable to Multiple Watersheds? Tributaries with dams could not be compared due to different hydrologic regime Approach may not be applicable to all tributaries in the watershed even without dams Flow ecology relationships variable and many times weak (Davies et al. 2013; Arthington et al. 2012; McManamay et al. 2013)

  7. General Concerns with Scientifically Defensible Justification for revising the thorough, collaborative, and more common IFIM method questionable Is IFIM Broke? 38 FERC studies on 23 CV tributaries Application of new ELOHA/hybrid method in West Coast regulated streams seems questionable New, hybrid methodology contradictory to scientifically defensible ? More detailed plan needed for evaluation

  8. Step 1: Identify Public Trust and Existing Beneficial Uses Re-allocation of water to protect the public trust is a process that requires the collection of significant information to weigh and balance existing and proposed uses Identify Existing Beneficial Uses Identify Public Trust Uses Recreation Fish Species Navigation Terrestrial Species Commerce Scenic views Irrigation Domestic Use Industrial Use Hydropower generation Existing fish and wildlife flows

  9. Step 2: Identify Fish Species that Require Protection Steelhead Fall-Run Chinook Salmon Spring-Run Chinook Salmon Winter-Run Chinook Salmon Sturgeon Delta Smelt Longfin Smelt

  10. Step 3: Identify Method of Protection Ocean Conditions Habitat Loss Ocean Harvest Temperature Hatchery Practices Predation Channel Modification Climate Change Migration Barriers Sediment Entrainment Toxics Flow

  11. Flow is a Small Component Development of Public Trust Flows Public Trust Uses Existing Beneficial Uses Fish Industrial Use Hydropowe r Domestic Use Refuge/Flo w Irrigation Scenic Views Terrestrial Species Recreation Commerce Fish Species Navigation Winter-run Chinook Fall-run Chinook Longfin Smelt Spring-run Chinook Steelhead Sturgeon Delta Smelt Ocean Conditions Hatchery Practices Channel Modification Climate Change Migration Barriers Habitat Loss Temperature Sediment Harvest Entrainment Flow Predation Toxics

  12. Existing Challenges/Suggested Solutions Existing Challenges 1. 2. Current process focuses on a small piece of the puzzle Flow is a difficult tool because of the indirect connection to survival and the process of re-allocation Overwhelming amount of information 3. Suggested Solutions 1. 2(a). Choose tools that re more directly related to fish survival (predation or ocean harvest 2(b). Choose tools more streamlined then re-allocation of existing water rights (predation and habitat projects) 3. Develop checklists with stakeholders and focus on public uses that need protection Develop a plan from top down, not bottom up trust

  13. Comments on Proposed Methods to Develop Flow Criteria for Priority Tributaries to the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta Prepared for SWRCB March 19, 2014 Valerie Kincaid Doug Demko San Joaquin Tributaries Authority

  14. Flow is a Small Component Development of Public Trust Flows Public Trust Uses Existing Beneficial Uses Fish Industrial Use Hydropowe r Domestic Use Refuge/Flo w Irrigation Scenic Views Terrestrial Species Recreation Commerce Fish Species Navigation Longfin Smelt Steelhead Salmon Sturgeon Delta Smelt Climate Change Temperatur e Dams Sediment Toxins Flow Habitat Loss

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