Enhancing Critical Thinking Skills in Scientific Research

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Critical Thinking- Analysis of
an Argument
 
G.P. Taylor, Ph.D.
University of Texas at San
Antonio
 
Critical Thinking
 
Deciding rationally what to or what
not to believe
 
Norris, Stephen P. "Synthesis of Research on Critical Thinking.
Educational Leadership
, v 42 n 8 May 1985. 40-45.
 
Critical Thinking
 
Careful and deliberate determination
of whether to accept, reject, or
suspend judgment.
 
Moore and Parker, 1994.
 
In Science, Critical Thinking is used
when you…
 
Observe problem/phenomenon/conceive ideas
Develop a hypothesis
Make predictions: Formulate experiments
Test Predictions:  Carry out experiments/analyze data
Draw conclusions from results, modify hypothesis
Modify as needed and do again.
Reject or confirm hypothesis
 
The Scientific Method itself involves critical thinking
VITAL for a scientist.
Impressive for a science student
Need to have time to read and think
 
Scientists are Natural Skeptics
 
Big thing to learn during Grad
school:
Be critical of everything!
What can you doubt about a scientific
paper?
 
Possible Doubts for Paper
 
 Are their ideas supported by prior findings?
 Are their techniques correct?
 Why did they choose the techniques they chose?
 Can their machines measure what they say?
 Did they do the correct controls (could the effect
arise from some other factor??)
 Does their data look “random” enough?
 Did they analyze their data correctly?
 Did they use correct statistical techniques?
 Did they interpret their data correctly?
Are their conclusions supported by the data?
 
Here, we’ll practice being critical
 
Analyze during class.
1 exercise from the GRE questions pool
Identify major problems with given argument
s
 
How to Approach?
 
Given:  There are flaws?  What are they?
Where are the problems?
Analyze line of reasoning
Consider questionable assumptions
Does evidence support the conclusion?
What additional evidence is needed to
strengthen or weaken argument?
What other info is needed to evaluate the
conclusion?
 
Weak Analogy
 
Conclusion about one thing, based
on success or failure of another…with
many other variables present
 
Ex:  A biotechnology company is
doing well in SA…I’ll open one as
well…
 
Confusing Cause and Effect
 
Ice cream consumption leads to
criminal behavior…
Other factors:  Summer heat, out of
school, etc…
 
Necessary and Sufficient
 
Necessary- No other ways of getting
effect
Sufficient- Can cause effect
 
 
 
 
Unrepresentative Statistics
 
Sample large enough
Sample representative of overall
population in relevant characteristics
 
How many are needed?
What works there…does it here?
 
Assuming no change over time
 
Old stats may not been
representative of today…
 
Narrow Either-Or Reasoning
 
Must choose only one path…
 
Perhaps both courses of action are
okay?
Are other courses of action feasible?
 
Directions:
 
Identify conclusion
Identify supporting evidence
Brainstorm and identify three or four
discrete flaws (see prior slides), plus
any others that you note.
How to strengthen argument? (What
additional info is needed)
 
Example:
 
Last year the local television news program
In Focus reported in its annual car-and-
truck safety survey that over the course of
the last 10 years, United Motors vehicles
were in involved in at least 30% fewer
fatal accidents to drivers than vehicles
built by any other single manufacturer.
Now, United is developing a one-of-a-kind
kind computerized crash warning system
for all its trucks.  Clearly, anyone
concerned with safety who is in the
market for a new truck this year should
buy a United Motors truck.
 
Example
 
Conclusion:  Truck buyers should
favor the UM truck over others…
Evidence Presented:
Compiled TV station-calculated 10 year
fatality rate on all UM vehicles
Development of new truck safety
system
 
Logic Problems:
 
Survey:
General Problems
30%...total accidents or per vehicle sold??? (not
percentage data, but seems to be actual numbers)
what % fatal accidents included?  Where is data from?
30% of all vehicles, not trucks alone
Non-fatal also relevant to safety
Geographic effects (fewer AM vehicles; In Focus local?)
Was safety consistent?  No changes in trucks over 10
years?
Maybe UM worse…why new system needed?
The new safety feature 
is effective
New system not yet included- irrelevant to current
purchases
 
How would you strengthen
Argument??
 
 
To Strengthen the Argument:
 
Accident sample information
Trucks instead of vehicles analyzed
Other measures of safety (non-fatal)
Safety was consistent over time
New safety features included and
effective
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Critical thinking plays a pivotal role in scientific endeavors, enabling researchers to observe, hypothesize, experiment, and draw valid conclusions. Being a natural skeptic is crucial for scientists to scrutinize research papers effectively. By carefully analyzing prior findings, research techniques, data, and statistical methods, scientists can ensure the reliability of their work. Embracing skepticism and applying critical analysis are key to refining scientific knowledge and enhancing research credibility.

  • Critical Thinking
  • Scientific Research
  • Skepticism
  • Data Analysis
  • Research Methods

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  1. Critical Thinking- Analysis of an Argument G.P. Taylor, Ph.D. University of Texas at San Antonio

  2. Critical Thinking Deciding rationally what to or what not to believe Norris, Stephen P. "Synthesis of Research on Critical Thinking. Educational Leadership, v 42 n 8 May 1985. 40-45.

  3. Critical Thinking Careful and deliberate determination of whether to accept, reject, or suspend judgment. Moore and Parker, 1994.

  4. In Science, Critical Thinking is used when you Observe problem/phenomenon/conceive ideas Develop a hypothesis Make predictions: Formulate experiments Test Predictions: Carry out experiments/analyze data Draw conclusions from results, modify hypothesis Modify as needed and do again. Reject or confirm hypothesis The Scientific Method itself involves critical thinking VITAL for a scientist. Impressive for a science student Need to have time to read and think

  5. Scientists are Natural Skeptics Big thing to learn during Grad school: Be critical of everything! What can you doubt about a scientific paper?

  6. Possible Doubts for Paper Are their ideas supported by prior findings? Are their techniques correct? Why did they choose the techniques they chose? Can their machines measure what they say? Did they do the correct controls (could the effect arise from some other factor??) Does their data look random enough? Did they analyze their data correctly? Did they use correct statistical techniques? Did they interpret their data correctly? Are their conclusions supported by the data?

  7. Here, well practice being critical Analyze during class. 1 exercise from the GRE questions pool Identify major problems with given arguments

  8. How to Approach? Given: There are flaws? What are they? Where are the problems? Analyze line of reasoning Consider questionable assumptions Does evidence support the conclusion? What additional evidence is needed to strengthen or weaken argument? What other info is needed to evaluate the conclusion?

  9. Weak Analogy Conclusion about one thing, based on success or failure of another with many other variables present Ex: A biotechnology company is doing well in SA I ll open one as well

  10. Confusing Cause and Effect Ice cream consumption leads to criminal behavior Other factors: Summer heat, out of school, etc

  11. Necessary and Sufficient Necessary- No other ways of getting effect Sufficient- Can cause effect

  12. Unrepresentative Statistics Sample large enough Sample representative of overall population in relevant characteristics How many are needed? What works there does it here?

  13. Assuming no change over time Old stats may not been representative of today

  14. Narrow Either-Or Reasoning Must choose only one path Perhaps both courses of action are okay? Are other courses of action feasible?

  15. Directions: Identify conclusion Identify supporting evidence Brainstorm and identify three or four discrete flaws (see prior slides), plus any others that you note. How to strengthen argument? (What additional info is needed)

  16. Example: Last year the local television news program In Focus reported in its annual car-and- truck safety survey that over the course of the last 10 years, United Motors vehicles were in involved in at least 30% fewer fatal accidents to drivers than vehicles built by any other single manufacturer. Now, United is developing a one-of-a-kind kind computerized crash warning system for all its trucks. Clearly, anyone concerned with safety who is in the market for a new truck this year should buy a United Motors truck.

  17. Example Conclusion: Truck buyers should favor the UM truck over others Evidence Presented: Compiled TV station-calculated 10 year fatality rate on all UM vehicles Development of new truck safety system

  18. Logic Problems: Survey: General Problems 30%...total accidents or per vehicle sold??? (not percentage data, but seems to be actual numbers) what % fatal accidents included? Where is data from? 30% of all vehicles, not trucks alone Non-fatal also relevant to safety Geographic effects (fewer AM vehicles; In Focus local?) Was safety consistent? No changes in trucks over 10 years? Maybe UM worse why new system needed? The new safety feature is effective New system not yet included- irrelevant to current purchases

  19. How would you strengthen Argument??

  20. To Strengthen the Argument: Accident sample information Trucks instead of vehicles analyzed Other measures of safety (non-fatal) Safety was consistent over time New safety features included and effective

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