Dynamic Pricing in Revenue Management

 
Neelam Sanghi
General Manager/IT
DFCCIL/IR
 
Agenda
 
Revenue Management
Dynamic Pricing
Industries that adopt dynamic Pricing
Airline Industry
Indian Railways
Why Dynamic Pricing in Indian Railways?
 
Agenda
 
Case Study
Scope for Dynamic Pricing in IR
IR’s Experiment with Dynamic Pricing
Benefits
Challenges
Dynamic Pricing in Airlines Viz IR
Food For Thought
Interactive session
 
Revenue Management
 
Revenue Management is selling the right product
to the right customer at the right time at the right
price
Dynamic Pricing is one aspect of a complete
revenue management programme
The technique is most useful when two
characteristics co-exist
The product expires in a point of time
The capacity is fixed well in advance and can be
augmented only at a relatively high marginal cost
 
 
Dynamic Pricing
 
These characteristics create the potential for
large swings in the opportunity cost of sale
The opportunity cost of sale is a potential
foregone subsequent sale
The value of a unit in a shortage situation is
the highest value of an unserved customer
Forecasting this value given current sales and
available capacity represents dynamic pricing
 
Dynamic Pricing
 
The customers are price sensitive
The aim is to sell the “perishable” inventory
for maximum revenue
Giving discounts to price-sensitive
customers and charging premiums to less
price sensitive customers
The customers differ in more ways than
just price sensitivity so market needs to be
segmented on multiple variables
 
Dynamic Pricing
 
Dynamic Pricing is pricing based on demand and
timing .
The price is not firmly set it changes based on
changing circumstances
High demand, higher pricing and vice versa
Segmented Pricing: Some customers may be
willing to pay more for faster service, higher
quality or more features
Peak User Pricing: Higher prices for “Rush Hour"
 
Dynamic Pricing in the following
 
Airlines Industry
Hotels
Car Rental Industry
Ocean Cargo Industry
Retail Industry –Fashion Apparel Industry
Entertainment Industry –ticket pricing
Cruise Lines
Manufacturing Industry
 
Airline Industry
 
Prices in the Airline Industry were regulated until
1978
Price and quantity changes had to be approved by
CAB
“American Airlines” is considered the pioneer in
dynamic pricing
Advanced software has propelled e-commerce
forward with dynamic pricing
 In America for example One way fares exceed
round trip fares
 
 
Airline Industry
 
Price changes frequently
Low fares on a particular flight being available,
then not, and then available again
Listed fares vary depending on the time of the
year, time of the week, remaining seats available
and remaining time until departure
For example, average prices for round trips
between Phoenix and Los Angeles differ
depending on whether they originate in Los
Angeles or Phoenix
 
Indian Railways
 
114,500  km of total track over a route of  65000
km
7500 railway stations
Carries 30 million passengers daily
Transports 2.8 million tonnes of freight daily
Fourth largest railway network after USA, Russia
and China
1.36 million employees
 
 
Indian Railways
 
In 1951 the various state Railways were
nationalized as 1 unit wholly owned by the
Government of India
It is virtually a monopoly in medium-long distance
travelling passengers in India but for short
distance faces stiff competition from Roadways
Passenger revenues are cross subsidized by
freight earnings
Each train has multiple stops
 
 
Indian Railways
 
There are different types of concessions
given to different segments of customers
like senior citizens, students, military
warrants, members of Parliament, Railway
employees
Currently  static pricing is followed for all
trains
Same ticket price all the year round for the
same train
 
Why Dynamic Pricing in IR?
 
PRODUCT OFFERING FULFILLS ALL
CRITERION
Product is perishable in nature
Multiple product options available over a
significant time period
Vacant capacity exists across similar product
offerings
Demand varies across time & similar product
offerings
 
Why Dynamic Pricing in IR?
 
IMPROVEMENT IN COACHING EARNINGS
Filling up vacant capacities through spreading
of demand
Increased customer base through below base
level fare offering – 
will benefit the EWS
Exponential increase in revenue for trains in
high demand
 
Why Dynamic Pricing in IR?
 
Currently the loss in the passenger sector is
touching Rs 26,000 crore in a year
It is being cross subsidised from freight earnings
While the waiting list of Passengers is getting
longer and longer yet passenger business is
making a loss
Many passengers are willing to pay for travelling
in  comfort
 
Why Dynamic Pricing in IR?
 
MARKET FORCES INFLUENCE DEMAND
It factors in all variables
Category of train & class
Regional & Seasonal variations in demand
Temporary surges / slumps
Convenience of timings
Weekend syndrome
Case Study
Case Study
 
Scope for Dynamic Pricing
 
Scope exists for balancing the demand across multiple trains
to same destination.
Demand varies across seasons and across trains to same
destination
The definition of season would vary across regions.
Even within a season, there  could be short surges / slumps in
demand.
Weekend syndrome is another example of demand fluctuation
Demand also varies across classes in the same train
Advantage can be derived by smoothening the seasonal
fluctuations in demand by accentuating benefits of vacant
capacities in off season
 
IR’s experiment with Dynamic Pricing
Pilot Project
 
For the first time, railways experimented with
dynamic fares on the pattern of airlines by
operating Rajdhani type AC special trains
between Delhi and Mumbai
Four trips from 24
th
 December 2013 till 2
nd
January 2014 of the premium AC special trains
on the busy New Delhi-Mumbai sector
 
IR’s experiment with Dynamic Pricing
 
The fare will vary based upon a pre defined
formula
Dynamic fare charged for only confirmed and
RAC passengers
Tickets sold on higher rate than the existing rate
as per the dynamic pricing policy to encash the
peak demand during festive season of Christmas
and New Year
 
 
IR’s experiment with Dynamic Pricing
 
The Premier AC special trains will have only AC-2
and AC-3 classes with Rajdhani like facility including
catering
The fares to increase depending on demand
intensity
The train designed to clear the last minute peak time
demand
There are no stoppages enroute
 
IR’s experiment with Dynamic Pricing
 
There shall be no waitlist passengers
Advance Reservation for this train would be a
maximum of 15 days only
No Concession will be applicable on this train
Free passes/complimentary
passes/warrant/concessional voucher etc. shall
not be permitted in this train
Adult fares would be charged for all passengers
irrespective of their age
 
IR’s experiment with Dynamic Pricing
 
Only e-tickets will be permitted for booking through
Internet/IRCTC portal
The fare applicable each day /transaction shall be
indicated at the time of booking on the IRCTC website
Hence Modification/Duplicate ticket/cluster booking/BPT
will not be allowed
Only end to end general quota booking will be applicable
Upgradation option shall not be applicable in this train
The passengers are required to carry the prescribed
original photo identity which is used at the time of
booking
 
IR’s experiment with Dynamic Pricing
 
Current Booking will be allowed at current
reservation counters only after Charting as this
facility is not available on internet
If current counter is enabled vacant berths left at the
time of charting will be offered for current booking at
the Originating Station
Tickets at Current Counter will be sold at the “Base
Price” (Rajdhani Base Fare plus Tatkal charges) and
other supplementary charges like reservation fee,
superfast charges,catering charges and service tax
as applicable
 
IR’s experiment with Dynamic Pricing
 
Coach damage / suspension /addition / profile change
will not be applicable within advance reservation
period under Dynamic fare policy
However if berth cannot be given to passenger by
Indian Railways full refund shall be granted to the
passenger manually
No refund shall be granted. However,full refund shall
be admissible in case the train is fully cancelled
 
IR’s experiment with Dynamic Pricing
 
The menu and tariff of Catering services for the
proposed train will be similar to other Rajdhani
trains
The days of running of this train and composition
of the train shall be as per the notification of the
Coaching Directorate of Railway Board / CPTM’s
of Zonal Railway
Zonal Railways to arrange wide publicity through
media
 
IR’s experiment with Dynamic Pricing
 
There was a 30 percent jump in fares in AC-2
Ticket fares went up by Rs 737 in AC 2 and Rs 627
in AC 3
35 per cent  jump in AC 3 fares
The trip for Dec 13 was booked to capacity with 746
births sold out in AC 3 and 219 births sold out in AC
2
This train was equipped with 17 coaches.
Railways plans to introduce DP in 17 more trains
 
Benefits
 
Increase in passenger earnings by
Filling up vacant capacities through spreading of
demand.
Increased customer base through below base level
fare offering
Exponential increase in revenue for trains in high
demand
 
Reduced burden on PRS due to increased online
behavior
Touting will get discouraged
 
Benefits
 
 
The initial frenzy will cause a surge in the DP, resulting in
an immediate slowdown in the booking rate
The difference in highest and lowest fare as seen by the
customer will tempt him to less popular trains
The price conscious buyer will shift to vacant capacities
in less popular trains, while the price inelastic buyer will
continue to book
Phenomenon of full booking within minutes of opening
may not happen anymore and confirmed seat availability
on popular trains will be spread over larger period
Fares of highly popular trains will continue to be much
over the base fare
 
Dynamic Pricing in Airlines viz IR
 
Airlines
 
Indian Railways
 
Airlines are owned privately
They compete with each other
for the same route and for the
same passengers
Airlines decide fares within the
framework of guidelines of
DGCA
Greater flexibility in operations
and fare fixation
Over 90% Revenue from
Passenger Operations
 
IR fully Government owned
No competition as it is a
monopoly
 
Fares fixed by Railway Ministry
Introduction of new trains,
routes and fares subject to
Parliamentary approval
75% revenue from Freight
Operations.
 
Challenges
 
Intermediate Station Quotas
Passengers not having access to Internet or
IRCTC Portal
Credit card /e-banking required for booking
Dovetailing with existing PRS
Modalities for booking in PRS offices
Data mining with respect to customer
preferences for different trains and routes
 
Challenges
 
The pilot project confined to 2
nd
 and 3
rd
 AC  on
premium train plying on premium route
The ticket price should be significantly lesser
than the low cost airlines
Quality of service like cleanliness, safety,
security, punctuality would require considerable
improvement
 
Challenges
 
Maximum seats in most trains are in the sleeper
class
Policy of granting concessions not consistent
with dynamic pricing
Profit maximization cannot be the only goal for a
Government run organization
Govt has notified a Rail Tariff Authority which will
develop an “
i
ntegrated, transparent and
dynamic” pricing mechanism
 
Food for Thought
 
“At many companies, little cost-cutting juice can
easily be extracted from operations. Pricing is
therefore one of the few untapped levers to boost
earnings, and companies that start now will be in
a good position to profit fully from the next
upturn”– McKinsey Quarterly, 2003
Dynamic Pricing in IR can be introduced in luxury
classes in premium trains during peak seasons
 
 
 
 
Interactive Session
 
   
Thank You
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Revenue management involves selling the right product to the right customer at the right time and price. Dynamic pricing plays a key role in revenue management, especially when products have expiry dates and fixed capacities. This strategy allows for maximizing revenue by adjusting prices based on demand and timing, catering to price-sensitive customers, and implementing segmented pricing. The concept of dynamic pricing is explored further in the context of industries like airlines and Indian Railways.

  • Revenue Management
  • Dynamic Pricing
  • Pricing Strategy
  • Revenue Optimization
  • Market Segmentation

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  1. Neelam Sanghi General Manager/IT DFCCIL/IR

  2. Agenda Revenue Management Dynamic Pricing Industries that adopt dynamic Pricing Airline Industry Indian Railways Why Dynamic Pricing in Indian Railways?

  3. Agenda Case Study Scope for Dynamic Pricing in IR IR s Experiment with Dynamic Pricing Benefits Challenges Dynamic Pricing in Airlines Viz IR Food For Thought Interactive session

  4. Revenue Management Revenue Management is selling the right product to the right customer at the right time at the right price Dynamic Pricing is one aspect of a complete revenue management programme The technique is most useful when two characteristics co-exist The product expires in a point of time The capacity is fixed well in advance and can be augmented only at a relatively high marginal cost

  5. Dynamic Pricing These characteristics create the potential for large swings in the opportunity cost of sale The opportunity cost of sale is a potential foregone subsequent sale The value of a unit in a shortage situation is the highest value of an unserved customer Forecasting this value given current sales and available capacity represents dynamic pricing

  6. Dynamic Pricing The customers are price sensitive The aim is to sell the perishable inventory for maximum revenue Giving discounts to price-sensitive customers and charging premiums to less price sensitive customers The customers differ in more ways than just price sensitivity so market needs to be segmented on multiple variables

  7. Dynamic Pricing Dynamic Pricing is pricing based on demand and timing . The price is not firmly set it changes based on changing circumstances High demand, higher pricing and vice versa Segmented Pricing: Some customers may be willing to pay more for faster service, higher quality or more features Peak User Pricing: Higher prices for Rush Hour"

  8. Dynamic Pricing in the following Airlines Industry Hotels Car Rental Industry Ocean Cargo Industry Retail Industry Fashion Apparel Industry Entertainment Industry ticket pricing Cruise Lines Manufacturing Industry

  9. Airline Industry Prices in the Airline Industry were regulated until 1978 Price and quantity changes had to be approved by CAB American Airlines is considered the pioneer in dynamic pricing Advanced software has propelled e-commerce forward with dynamic pricing In America for example One way fares exceed round trip fares

  10. Airline Industry Price changes frequently Low fares on a particular flight being available, then not, and then available again Listed fares vary depending on the time of the year, time of the week, remaining seats available and remaining time until departure For example, average prices for round trips between Phoenix and Los Angeles differ depending on whether they originate in Los Angeles or Phoenix

  11. Indian Railways 114,500 km of total track over a route of 65000 km 7500 railway stations Carries 30 million passengers daily Transports 2.8 million tonnes of freight daily Fourth largest railway network after USA, Russia and China 1.36 million employees

  12. Indian Railways In 1951 the various state Railways were nationalized as 1 unit wholly owned by the Government of India It is virtually a monopoly in medium-long distance travelling passengers in India but for short distance faces stiff competition from Roadways Passenger revenues are cross subsidized by freight earnings Each train has multiple stops

  13. Indian Railways There are different types of concessions given to different segments of customers like senior citizens, students, military warrants, members of Parliament, Railway employees Currently static pricing is followed for all trains Same ticket price all the year round for the same train

  14. Why Dynamic Pricing in IR? PRODUCT OFFERING CRITERION Product is perishable in nature Multiple product options available over a significant time period Vacant capacity exists across similar product offerings Demand varies across time & similar product offerings FULFILLS ALL

  15. Why Dynamic Pricing in IR? IMPROVEMENT IN COACHING EARNINGS Filling up vacant capacities through spreading of demand Increased customer base through below base level fare offering will benefit the EWS Exponential increase in revenue for trains in high demand

  16. Why Dynamic Pricing in IR? Currently the loss in the passenger sector is touching Rs 26,000 crore in a year It is being cross subsidised from freight earnings While the waiting list of Passengers is getting longer and longer yet passenger business is making a loss Many passengers are willing to pay for travelling in comfort

  17. Why Dynamic Pricing in IR? MARKET FORCES INFLUENCE DEMAND It factors in all variables Categoryof train & class Regional & Seasonal variations in demand Temporary surges / slumps Convenienceof timings Weekend syndrome

  18. Case Study %AGE OCCUPANCY: HWH-PUI (OCT'11-SEP'12) 103.18 87.18 12837 95.97 22835 TRAIN 77.9 12895 12881 99.09 12887 92.9 18409 34.82 12277 (CC) 113.48 12821 (CC) 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 %AGE OCCUPANCY (CC/3A)

  19. Case Study MONTHWISE OCCUPANCY: HWH-PUI (OCT'11-SEP'12) 140 120 100 12821 (CC) %AGE OCCUPANCY 12277 (CC) 80 18409 12887 60 12881 12895 40 22835 12837 20 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 MONTH

  20. Scope for Dynamic Pricing Scope exists for balancing the demand across multiple trains to same destination. Demand varies across seasons and across trains to same destination The definition of season would vary across regions. Even within a season, there could be short surges / slumps in demand. Weekend syndrome is another example of demand fluctuation Demand also varies across classes in the same train Advantage can be derived by smoothening the seasonal fluctuations in demand by accentuating benefits of vacant capacities in off season

  21. IRs experiment with Dynamic Pricing Pilot Project For the first time, railways experimented with dynamic fares on the pattern of airlines by operating Rajdhani type AC special trains between Delhi and Mumbai Four trips from 24thDecember 2013 till 2nd January 2014 of the premium AC special trains on the busy New Delhi-Mumbai sector

  22. IRs experiment with Dynamic Pricing The fare will vary based upon a pre defined formula Dynamic fare charged for only confirmed and RAC passengers Tickets sold on higher rate than the existing rate as per the dynamic pricing policy to encash the peak demand during festive season of Christmas and New Year

  23. IRs experiment with Dynamic Pricing The Premier AC special trains will have only AC-2 and AC-3 classes with Rajdhani like facility including catering The fares to increase depending on demand intensity The train designed to clear the last minute peak time demand There are no stoppages enroute

  24. IRs experiment with Dynamic Pricing There shall be no waitlist passengers Advance Reservation for this train would be a maximum of 15 days only No Concession will be applicable on this train Free passes/complimentary passes/warrant/concessional voucher etc. shall not be permitted in this train Adult fares would be charged for all passengers irrespective of their age

  25. IRs experiment with Dynamic Pricing Only e-tickets will be permitted for booking through Internet/IRCTC portal The fare applicable each day /transaction shall be indicated at the time of booking on the IRCTC website Hence Modification/Duplicate ticket/cluster booking/BPT will not be allowed Only end to end general quota booking will be applicable Upgradation option shall not be applicable in this train The passengers are required to carry the prescribed original photo identity which is used at the time of booking

  26. IRs experiment with Dynamic Pricing Current Booking will be allowed at current reservation counters only after Charting as this facility is not available on internet If current counter is enabled vacant berths left at the time of charting will be offered for current booking at the Originating Station Tickets at Current Counter will be sold at the Base Price (Rajdhani Base Fare plus Tatkal charges) and other supplementary charges like reservation fee, superfast charges,catering charges and service tax as applicable

  27. IRs experiment with Dynamic Pricing Coach damage / suspension /addition / profile change will not be applicable within advance reservation period under Dynamic fare policy However if berth cannot be given to passenger by Indian Railways full refund shall be granted to the passenger manually No refund shall be granted. However,full refund shall be admissible in case the train is fully cancelled

  28. IRs experiment with Dynamic Pricing The menu and tariff of Catering services for the proposed train will be similar to other Rajdhani trains The days of running of this train and composition of the train shall be as per the notification of the Coaching Directorate of Railway Board / CPTM s of Zonal Railway Zonal Railways to arrange wide publicity through media

  29. IRs experiment with Dynamic Pricing There was a 30 percent jump in fares in AC-2 Ticket fares went up by Rs 737 in AC 2 and Rs 627 in AC 3 35 per cent jump in AC 3 fares The trip for Dec 13 was booked to capacity with 746 births sold out in AC 3 and 219 births sold out in AC 2 This train was equipped with 17 coaches. Railways plans to introduce DP in 17 more trains

  30. Benefits Increase in passenger earnings by Filling up vacant capacities through spreading of demand. Increased customer base through below base level fare offering Exponential increase in revenue for trains in high demand Reduced burden on PRS due to increased online behavior Touting will get discouraged

  31. Benefits The initial frenzy will cause a surge in the DP, resulting in an immediate slowdown in the booking rate The difference in highest and lowest fare as seen by the customer will tempt him to less popular trains The price conscious buyer will shift to vacant capacities in less popular trains, while the price inelastic buyer will continue to book Phenomenon of full booking within minutes of opening may not happen anymore and confirmed seat availability on popular trains will be spread over larger period Fares of highly popular trains will continue to be much over the base fare

  32. Dynamic Pricing in Airlines viz IR Airlines Indian Railways Airlines are owned privately They compete with each other for the same route and for the same passengers Airlines decide fares within the framework of guidelines of DGCA Greater flexibility in operations and fare fixation Over 90% Revenue from Passenger Operations IR fully Government owned No competition as it is a monopoly Fares fixed by Railway Ministry Introduction of new trains, routes and fares subject to Parliamentary approval 75% revenue from Freight Operations.

  33. Challenges Intermediate Station Quotas Passengers not having access to Internet or IRCTC Portal Credit card /e-banking required for booking Dovetailing with existing PRS Modalities for booking in PRS offices Data mining with respect to customer preferences for different trains and routes

  34. Challenges The pilot project confined to 2ndand 3rdAC on premium train plying on premium route The ticket price should be significantly lesser than the low cost airlines Quality of service like cleanliness, safety, security, punctuality would require considerable improvement

  35. Challenges Maximum seats in most trains are in the sleeper class Policy of granting concessions not consistent with dynamic pricing Profit maximization cannot be the only goal for a Government run organization Govt has notified a Rail Tariff Authority which will develop an integrated, transparent and dynamic pricing mechanism

  36. Food for Thought At many companies, little cost-cutting juice can easily be extracted from operations. Pricing is therefore one of the few untapped levers to boost earnings, and companies that start now will be in a good position to profit fully from the next upturn McKinsey Quarterly, 2003 Dynamic Pricing in IR can be introduced in luxury classes in premium trains during peak seasons

  37. Interactive Session

  38. Thank You

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